The prevailing tensions on the Sino-Indian border are a sign of widespread strategic competition between the two Asian neighbours.
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June 15 marked the second anniversary of the Sino-Indian conflict in the remote area of Galwan in Ladakh on the Sino-Indian border. Two years after the clashes, which left 20 Indian soldiers and at least four Chinese soldiers dead, tensions on the border are real and the future trajectory of bilateral relations is uncertain. Talks between the two sides have continued through diplomacy and military channels, but a standoff and a resolution to release troops are unlikely in the near future. No progress has been made in reaching a mutually agreed arrangement to release troops at several points across the Line of Actual Control (LAC), including Patrol Point 15 near Kongka, Depsang Bulge in the Daulat Beg Oldi Sector and Charding Nalla Junction (CNJ). ) In Demchok.
There have been 15 rounds of talks between the two armies at the corps commander level. These talks have partially succeeded in removing the troops, but the fact that there are about 60,000 troops on each side of the border is evidence of the absence of real progress in the last two years. The prevailing tensions on the border are a sign of widespread strategic rivalry between the two Asian neighbors.
India is unlikely to be satisfied with this as China has once again imposed a blockade of the Indo-US alliance. UN Security Council proposes to list Pakistan-based terrorist Abdul Rehman Makki as a global terrorist under ISIL (Da'esh) and Al Qaeda Prevention Committee.
In particular, China considered it appropriate to convene a meeting of the BRICS National Security Advisors (NSA) to mark the second anniversary of the conflict. Surprisingly, despite the anniversary, the Indian NSA attended the meeting without reservation, emphasizing counter-terrorism cooperation. India is unlikely to be satisfied with this as China has once again imposed a blockade of the Indo-US alliance. UN Security Council proposes to list Pakistan-based terrorist Abdul Rehman Makki as a global terrorist under ISIL (Da'esh) and Al Qaeda Prevention Committee.
Commenting on the BRICS NSA meeting, a Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman noted that the world was going through "profound changes in the international landscape woven by an unprecedented epidemic in a century", leading to "a new phase of unrest and transformation" and China to "further strengthen political mutual trust." The BRICS will work with the BRICS countries to enhance political and security cooperation, to support the security and development interests of the five countries and to contribute to world peace and stability. It is unclear whether India agrees with these sentiments, as New Delhi does not appear to be on the same page as Russia and China in terms of significant changes in international affairs. Given these differences, it remains to be seen how the BRICS - which includes Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa - will enhance political and security cooperation. On the other hand,
The SCO Border Security Meeting was organized by the Border Security Force of India (BSF), which convened the 21st meeting of the expert group and the eighth meeting of the Heads of Boundary Authorities of competent bodies of SCO member countries in New Delhi.
The Border Security Meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) countries was also held, which included China, India, Russia, Pakistan and Central Asian countries (excluding Turkmenistan). The SCO Border Security Meeting was organized by the Border Security Force of India (BSF), which convened the 21st meeting of the expert group and the eighth meeting of the Heads of Boundary Authorities of competent bodies of SCO member countries in New Delhi.
Despite these signs of some political normalcy, there are also conflicting signs that India and China are moving away from each other. Immediately after the skirmish, India leaned towards the quad - a group of the United States, Australia, Japan and India - with several summits and other participants. Until then, using the heavier groups India-Australia-Japan-United States, India was not ready to refer to the Quad as the Quad. Since then, India has been willing to use the "quad" in at least formal statements. India also extended the Malabar naval exercise to include Australia, which New Delhi had resisted for years due to concerns over China's response. Besides, India has strengthened its ties not only with the Quad countries but also with European superpowers like France.
However, it should also be noted that, despite being a member of the Quad initiative, India appears to be underestimating its safety aspects by focusing on other components of Quad cooperation, such as vaccine distribution, critical and emerging technologies, and climate change. Indeed, the group name itself seems to have changed from quadrilateral security dialog to just quadrilateral. It is unclear whether this de-securitization of the quad is due to India's instability, but given that the other three members are security partners, this is a reasonable estimate. This de-securitization is unfortunate and potentially problematic, as other analysts have pointed out.
On the Ukraine conflict, although China initially took a more neutral stance, but now it seems to be somewhat closer to Russia, Xinhua reported that “China, together with Russia, is willing to support each other on issues of major interest and major concerns such as sovereignty and security.
In the same way, China, like India, seems to be moving closer to Russia by creating an alliance of tyrants to target the US and its allies. In February, during Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to Beijing, Russia and China signed a 99-paragraph joint statement that reflects their common position and shared views on many regional and global issues. The joint statement said their partnership "had no limits" and "no prohibited areas of co-operation." The meeting between Xi Jinping and Putin conveyed the message that there could be no major differences between the two in the immediate future. On the Ukraine conflict, although China initially took a more neutral stance, but now it seems to be somewhat closer to Russia, Xinhua reported that “China, together with Russia,
For the past two years, India has insisted that relations with China will not return to normal unless the current border issue is resolved. China has instead suggested that both sides put aside border issues and move on to other aspects of their relationship. Although the military remains on the border, India seems to be slowly moving towards normalization with multilateral diplomatic exchanges involving China
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